Oscar picks

Maggie says:
M-pyre's having a Southern-themed Oscar gathering tonight: barbecued tofu, black-eyed peas, cornbread, yams, and mac&cheese. And the rumor is someone's bringing five drinks themed on each Best Picture nom. Maybe we'll take some pictures and document our fun for m-pyrical... But until then, here are my Oscar picks for tonight. Unlike most years, where I have a very separate "should win" and "will win" list, this year it's pretty close. Here's my "will wins:"

• Best Picture: Brokeback Mountain
• Best Director: Ang Lee
• Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon
• Best Actor: Phillip Seymour Hoffman
• Best Supporting Actress: Rachel Weisz
• Best Supporting Actor: Jake Gyllenhall (everyone else says Clooney, but I never saw Syriana, so I can't rightfully pick him)
• Best Adapted Screenplay: Brokeback Mountain
• Best Original Screenplay: The Squid and the Whale

This is tough! In all of the acting categories, I'd be just as happy to see someone else win. Ledger for Hoffman, Williams or Adams or Keener for Weisz, Clooney or Giamatti (just to acknowledge how damn amazing he is!) over Gyllenhall... But you have to pick someone, right?

It's going to be a fun night.